Tuesday, January 18, 2022

minnows that might

The thing about microcap molecule hunters, pre-clinical and clinical science outfits, is the probability that 70% will fail at the pre-clinical-stage, 25% of those at Phase 1, 50% at Phase 2, 41% at Phase 3, and 12% at NDA.

The math implies a 5.8% success rate for the average ten years and $2.6 billion spent on screening millions of compounds. Less than 12% reach clinical trials. 

failure rates100
pre clinical-0.730.0-70.0
phase I-0.2522.5-7.5
phase II-0.511.3-11.3
phase III-0.416.6-4.6
NDA-0.125.8-0.8

Capital markets supply liquidity from adventure capital to institutions. The process is an invitation for misuse by less than well-intentioned actors

Then there those that just might swim with government approvals.

spinal cords

funded














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