Monday, December 27, 2021

bio bombs

at the end of the life-science supply chain when endpoints are unmet or studies flush there are more sellers than buyers of the promise

mc 6.65
mc 19

mc 1.5







 

on the run

mc 222 sf 7
mc 3.39 sf 12
ocft mc 1
mc 941 sf 34
mc 35 sf 24
mc 102 sf 13
mc 76 sf 9












 

Sunday, December 26, 2021

flinch

The price journey from disclosure of SEC subpoena November 2020 at 27 to SEC settlement December 2021 at 10. 

Shareholders are passive institutions: Blackrock, Vanguard, Norges plus a series of funds obliged to hold on.  

Insiders at 50%

So 400 million shares outstanding, 200 million floating, 23% of the float is short (45 million), Institutions at about 25% long. 10 million shares traded daily.

The hardest part about playing chicken is to know when to flinch





tantalizing covers

mc 3.8 sf 23 sec settlement

mc 881 sf 34
mc 30 sf 24



specialty retail

                                                   prices down, shorts up, insider buying


mc 1.99 sf 12 insider+



mc 1.58 sf 20 insider+




Friday, December 24, 2021

inside out

mc 57 pe 76 14x rev insiders bailing
mc 275 pe 56 18x rev next leg down




 

imagination


the numbers

index earnings per share doubled. the earnings multiple contracted by 40%. thinking that a doubling of earnings during a global economic contraction strains the imagination. either prices are too low or earnings were the result of creative spreadsheet warriors.



the technicals



interesting wave counts at ten-day intervals. prices tethered to declining moving averages with .65 retracements of expanding down legs.



 

drum roll