Friday, May 27, 2022

the bear bounces

 A run for the roses off the lows before the next round of Agida. Short floats have expanded. Coals are lit

mc 8.11 sf 21

mc 2.9 sf 9

mc 818 sf 29

mc 42 sf 27

mc 1.75 sf 16 government contract

shorts at 25%


Thursday, May 26, 2022

rubber

The long tire short infrastructure trade available at under four times earnings. Real earnings. .2 times revenue. half of book value. supply chain inflation in the numbers.

mc 3.6






Tuesday, May 24, 2022

manana

 offered without comment as gravity prevails while denial remains

mc 21
mc 7
mc 12
mc 15 fpe infinity
mc 19 fpe infinity










Sunday, May 22, 2022

neo

 The cookie jar brims with intangibles and goodwill from two 2021 acquisitions that have not been market to market, model, or can be serviced with operating losses

Intangible assets, net433,835 442,325 
Goodwill527,115 527,115 
Other assets6,600 7,168 
Total non-current assets1,178,447 1,188,270 
Total assets$1,829,547 $1,869,778 



half a billion raised with converts that have a strike price a bomb blast away which come with the present of $100 million paid for equity caps


Convertible senior notes, net533,189 532,483


quarterly revenue $117 million

Total net revenue117,169 115,533 


loss from ops that doubled with revenue flat


LOSS FROM OPERATIONS(52,028)(15,107)

a patent infringement suit against one of the 2021 aquisitions. the plaintiff has a story of its own

On January 20, 2021, Natera, Inc. filed a patent infringement complaint against the Company’s newly-acquired subsidiary Inivata Limited and its subsidiary Inivata, Inc. in United States District Court for the district of Delaware, alleging Inivata’s InVisionFirst-Lung™ cancer diagnostic test of infringing two patents.

what appears to be a confession of  regulatory fraud with the prayer of an $11 million reserve 

Company voluntarily notified the Office of Inspector General of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (“OIG”) of the Company’s internal investigation in November 2021. The Company’s review of this matter is ongoing. The Company has a reserve of $11.2 million in other long-term liabilities as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021 on the Consolidated Balance Sheets for potential damages and liabilities primarily associated with the federal healthcare program revenue received by the Company in connection with the agreements at issue that were identified during the course of this internal investigation.

all for the going rate of a $1 billion market cap










Wednesday, May 18, 2022

median

central banks have printed $31 trillion against a global gdp $84 trillion. a one to three ratio that historically is less than ten to one. market cap to gdp ratios are thirty percent above medians. to wit

median mcap to gdp .8 against 1.2 present
textbook fade




no place to hide

                                     the baby remains in the bathwater but the tub is perched 

mc 387 ps 15 insiders selling gdp argentina
mc 215 gdp new zealand
mc 1.85 tr gdp italy
mc 184 gdp greece
mc 500 gdp thailand
mc 2.2 trillion gdp france
mc 712 insiders out this side of the maginot line gdp turkey
mc 1.03 gdp indonesia
mc 74 the big miss gdp oman


















leverage

leveraged etf shorts

cloud

oil and gas exploration


biotech

internet

china

 

Tuesday, May 17, 2022

Thursday, May 12, 2022

covering

                                                 shorts covering. taking a little casual off the table









in the hills

                                                     metals headed south. flow to inverse miners 





Wednesday, May 11, 2022

mongo dog

mongo db omitted related party conduct in the March 10 k which was promised in the un filed 2022 proxy while the leadership unloaded $200 million this year while the President dumped data dog shares where he sits as a director.

ddog placed a $750 million convert in 2020 and bought calls to hedge the potential dilution for $90 million with a strike prices of 92.5 to 151, it seems. The converts expire 2025 with other conditions but the liability remains. insiders selling into the strike price.

mc 17.25 ps 20
mc 31 ps 27




Tuesday, May 10, 2022

strike

A fellow in the cap table controls 30% of the voting rights through Class B's, would receive $150 million to $300 million for change of control, compensation was 805x average employee at $147 million, drives the company race car, and leases the company his plane.

Trades at 27 times revenue

Losing ten cents for every dollar of revenue

Earnings due 2 June

Insiders selling with abandon

mc 39 27x rev



platforms walking the plank

mc 39 27x rev reporting june 2 insiders out 200
mc 8.8 10x rev
mc 22 33x rev insiders out
mc 49 insiders out







 

uranium lithium bio bounces